NFL Week 18 Betting Insights
Bovada Sportsbook has every type of line you need heading into the final weekend of the NFL’s regular season, plus a few key insights below that might give you the edge. We’ve got you covered with the latest NFL betting odds as the place for NFL betting.
With all that said, we’re going deeper with the games where there’s a lot at stake. Read on for the best tips as you navigate the wild waters of NFL Week 18…
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JAGUARS ON THE PROWL
Trevor Lawrence and his Jacksonville Jaguars crew have a big gap when it comes to playoff probability here. Win and they’re in the postseason, 100%. But if they lose, they only have a 22% chance of making it.
Conclusion? They’ll be playing every snap full tilt against the Tennessee Titans to try and claim the top spot in the AFC South. Otherwise, it’s basically lose and go home.
But division rivalries are always tough, and Tennessee coach Mike Vrabel always has his team ready every week. The Titans are a respectable 4-3 at home straight up this season, and the X factor is that those losses were by only 3 points each time.
The Jags, no matter what’s on the line, might be in tough when it comes to covering their -5.5 spread this week.
BATTLE OF THE BIRDS
When they visit the Arizona Cardinals this weekend, the Seattle Seahawks will need a little help to make the NFL playoffs in this 2023-24 season. They’ll be helping themselves a lot with a win however, so expect them to come out hard.
The tricky part is that their opponent, the Arizona Cardinals, are a bit spicy at the moment. Fresh off a shocking Week 17 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cards are no pushovers even with nothing to really play for. QB Kyler Murray has completed 70% of his passes in the past 3 weeks, against the 49ers, the Bears, and Philly – and Seattle is only 19th in pass defense. A lot of passing could put the ‘Hawks status as 3-point favorites in jeopardy.
Plus, Murray is healthy again and will be looking to redeem himself this week again, after an up-and-down, injury-filled season.
Add all this to the fact that Seattle is only 3-5 S/U on the road this year and the Seahawks could have their wings clipped. Betting on them even with a small spread might leave bettors down in the pecking order.
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It’s win-and-they’re-in for the Green Bay Packers as they host the Chicago Bears at Lambeau Field in Week 18. In the old days, a home game late in the season with a lot on the line was money in the bank for the Pack, with names like Favre and Rodgers leading the way. In the Jordan Love era of the NFL, however, things are less certain.
While GB’s QB has been playing well in recent months (18 TDs vs only 3 INTs in his last 8 games), he hasn’t really been pressure-tested just yet. Add in Bears’ QB Justin Fields’ emergence of late, leading Chicago to a 4-1 record in their last 5 weeks, and it gets even trickier.
More stats you say? The Pack lit up Da Bears in Week 1 for 38 points, and with both QBs rolling lately, betting the Over at 44 O/U could be a solid choice. They’re favored at minus-3, so expect a close one either way.
Still, if they lose, the Packers only have a 17% chance of getting into the real hunt for the Super Bowl. Even though it’s always frosty in January at Lambeau, expect Green Bay to come out hot.
WILL THE BUCS STOP HERE?
The harshest win/lose stakes in this final weekend lie with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Win, they’re in. Lose and they’re on the beach next weekend, with a few players looking to suit up for the NFL Pro Bowl at best.
Baker Mayfield is the key factor here as they face the Carolina Panthers this week. The Bucs’ QB has looked pretty legit for the entire season, ranking 8th overall among NFL quarterbacks. But last weekend’s poor showing (4 turnovers, including 2 picks) against the New Orleans Saints is cause for some concern. Still, there’s a lot to play for, even beyond a playoff spot. Mayfield wants to secure his job for next season and beyond in Tampa, along with a nice pay raise as a result.
The Panthers, meanwhile, simply have the worst S/U record in the league and are 4-10-2 against the spread. Even if the spread of -5.5 for the Bucs seems high after last weekend’s lackluster effort, consider the fact that they’re a comfy 7-1-0 ATS on the road this year. Overall, there might just be too much on the line for Tampa not to find a way to win this one.