NFL Week 15 Betting Insights

NFL Week 15 Betting Insights

Only four weeks of regular season football remain and the action on the field has intensified with teams across the NFL fighting for a spot in the postseason. This was clearly the case in Week 14, as NFL fans witnessed a number of high-octane back and forth gridiron battles.

In the AFC, the Miami Dolphins squandered an opportunity to remain tied atop the conference standings with the Baltimore Ravens by losing to the Titans on Monday Night Football. Things were made even more interesting by the Kansas City Chiefs’ thrilling loss at the hands of the Buffalo Bills. Heading into Week 15, there are no less than 6 different teams tied with a record at 7-6 and looking to find their way in to one of the remaining Wild Card spots.

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The big news in the NFC came with the massive win by the Dallas Cowboys over the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football. The win propelled the Cowboys to first in the NFC East as one of the hottest teams in the league. While the San Francisco 49ers continued their winning ways in the NFC West, the entire NFC South division is now below .500 and looks like a complete mess.

As we turn our attention to Week 15, Bovada Sportsbook has all the spreads, totals, props and futures to get you in the game. Before placing any bets, we’ll take this opportunity to review some of the more telling betting trends for the week to come in the NFL. Keep these stats in mind when placing your bets and boost your chances of cashing in on the Week 15 schedule!

Ravens Rolling

Two of the better teams in the AFC face off in Week 15 as the 10-3 Baltimore Ravens travel to Jacksonville to take on the 8-5 Jaguars. Despite playing on the road, the Ravens are currently listed as three-point betting favorites. For those of you with good memories, you may recall these two teams faced off last year, with the Jaguars pulling out a one-point win. While that may give you confidence to bet on Jacksonville, you should know that Baltimore loves to avenge their losses – the Ravens are 18-5-2 against the spread (ATS) when avenging a loss.

Jacksonville will have starting QB Trevor Lawrence another week removed from his high-ankle sprain, which should help with his mobility, but he’ll need a much better performance after tossing three interceptions in last week’s loss to the Browns. There’s no doubt that the Jags are a capable NFL team, but the Ravens have excelled against the better teams this season, going 6-1 ATS versus teams with winning records. And for those of you who think Jacksonville will have the upper hand because the Ravens will still be recovering from last week’s overtime contest, you should know that the Jags are a miserable 1-9 against teams coming off an overtime game.

Beware Lion’s Den

Following a red-hot start to the season, the 9-4 Lions have struggled in recent weeks, picking up losses in two of their last three games. Head coach Dan Campbell will look to rally his troops in Week 15 as they host the Denver Broncos as 4.5-point betting favorites. If there’s one thing that Detroit has excelled at this year, it’s bouncing back from a loss; the team is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss. It gets even more impressive if you dig a little deeper, with 4 of those 6 wins coming by double digits.

If you were hesitant to bet against the 7-6 Broncos, it would be understandable. Denver has won six of their last seven games and looked like one of the better teams in the league over that time. However, rest easy knowing that this game will be played in Detroit, as the Broncos own the second-worst ATS road record in the NFL since the start of 2021 (7-13-1). If you compare that to the Lions, who are the NFL’s best ATS team (16-7) over that time, you’ll see why Detroit could be the smart play in Week 15.

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Browning’s Bengals

Last week’s game between the Vikings and Raiders was as ugly as it gets. While Minnesota pulled off the 3-0 win, it came with a quarterback change from Josh Dobbs to Nick Mullens. Mullens will once again be under center for the 7-6 Vikings in Week 15, and the team is currently listed as three-point underdogs versus the Bengals in Cincinnati, who will be starting a backup quarterback of their own in Jake Browning.

Cincinnati (7-6) is playing much better than people expected after Joe Burrow went down with a season-ending injury. You can expect more of the same in Week 15, as the Bengals have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games following a win. Coming off last week’s 34-14 trouncing of the Colts, expect Cincy to be ready to pounce in this game. They also seem to play their best as they ramp up for a showdown with their divisional rivals, the Steelers. In fact, the Bengals are 11-4 ATS at home before playing Pittsburgh, who they just happen to have on the schedule the following week.

Bears Have Bite

Few Browns fans could have predicted the incredible play from recently-signed backup quarterback Joe Flacco. The veteran passer came off his couch to provide solid play under center for Cleveland (8-5), something the team desperately needed to pair with their elite defense. Following last week’s 31-27 win over the Jaguars, the Browns prepare to host Justin Fields and the 5-8 Chicago Bears as three-point betting favorites.

While the Browns looked great last week, the main issue for Cleveland has been consistency. Dating back to the start of last season, the Browns have gone just 3-10-1 ATS following a win. If you’re looking for more recent data, this trend has continued in 2023 with Cleveland posting a 2-4-1 ATS record in the same situation. With the Bears having now won two straight and seemingly clicking on offense, you may want to roll with the underdog in this matchup.