NFL Week 13 Betting Insights
There’s nothing quite like the excitement of NFL football, especially when you’re betting on the games. As the NFL season continues to unfold and this year’s playoff picture begins to take shape, the stakes for sports bettors reach new heights. Whether you’re predicting point spreads, over/under totals or the outright winner, the world of NFL betting provides an opportunity to cash in on your football instincts and knowledge of the game.
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Last week’s schedule delivered several significant outcomes, including the Broncos beating the Browns for their fifth straight win, the Jaguars shutting the door on the Texans in a huge divisional tilt and the Eagles coming back in epic fashion to defeat the Bills in overtime. With only six weeks remaining in the NFL’s regular season, now is the time for sports bettors to meticulously dissect each game, scouring for trends and data that could serve them well in the coming weeks.
Bovada Sportsbook has everything you need to get started, including the complete betting odds for every Week 13 game. As we do our handicapping homework in preparation for Sunday, we’ve put together a few noteworthy betting trends to keep in mind when you’re making your Week 13 picks. Armed with our extensive NFL handicapping research, you’ll be better informed and ready for action!
Bucs Bounce Back
It hasn’t been a great season for the 4-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, yet they currently find themselves just a game back of the Falcons and Saints for top spot in their division. That alone should provide plenty of motivation for the team during their Week 13 matchup with the 1-10 Carolina Panthers
If you think the Buccaneers are having a rough season, this year’s Panthers’ squad is a complete disaster. At 7-4 against the spread (ATS), Tampa Bay has been kind to bettors while the Panthers are an NFL-worst 1-8-2 ATS. After giving up their best receiver and major draft stock to pick Bryce Young with the first overall pick, Carolina’s roster is left with major holes and the team has just a single victory on the year. On Monday, the Panthers fired head coach Frank Reich after only 11 games at the helm, leaving this team in complete disarray.
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Carolina’s offense has been anemic this season, ranking in the bottom four of the NFL in passing yards, rushing yard and scoring average. The defense is equally awful, allowing the third-most points per game in the league and picking up the NFL’s fewest takeaways. Now with their head coach fired midway through the season, it will be hard for the Panthers to be at their best in this Week 13 clash with Tampa Bay.
You can expect a strong showing from the Buccaneers defensive line, which should have their way against Carolina’s banged up front. The Bucs are currently listed as five-point betting favorites, but that may not be enough for Carolina to keep up. With Tampa Bay WR Mike Evans picking up four touchdowns over his past three games, don’t be surprised if he and QB Baker Mayfield connect on a few deep passes and blow this game wide open.
Lay (Points) with the Lions
The 8-3 Detroit Lions are still licking their wounds following their Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers, but this team should have no trouble getting back on track in Week 13. The Lions will be taking on the 5-6 New Orleans Saints, who are coming off 2 straight losses of their own and dealing with key injuries on both sides of the ball.
In case you haven’t been watching, Detroit has been one of the NFL’s best teams ever since their season opening upset over the Kansas City Chiefs. The Lions are firmly in control of the NFC North and have also gone a solid 7-4 ATS for the NFL betting community. Their offense ranks third in the NFL in total yards and is putting up an impressive 26.7 points per game this season.
The Saints have a talented defense and would normally present a challenge for Detroit but it looks like they’ll be without one of their best defender’s, as CB Marshon Lattimore has been placed on injured reserve with an ankle injury. New Orleans could also be missing key players on offense, including top WR Chris Olave, who’s dealing with the effects of a concussion.
Detroit will be well-rested for this game, having enjoyed a mini-bye following their Thanksgiving Day game last Thursday. In their last 9 games with a significant rest advantage, the Lions have unsurprisingly gone a solid 7-2 ATS. They’re also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite, making them a great bet to cover the 4 points they’re giving to a hobbled Saints team in Week 13.
Wet & Wild
Overlooking the weather is a common oversight for many NFL bettors, yet it remains a pivotal factor that can significantly impact game dynamics. From freezing winds to torrential downpours, Mother Nature’s playbook often introduces a wildcard element that savvy bettors shouldn’t underestimate in their strategic considerations.
As we look ahead at the Week 13 schedule, there are several games which may end up being impacted by the weather report. While forecasts are never guaranteed, it’s looking like Week 13 will be a wet one for a number of NFL teams:
- Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) at New York Jets
As a dome team that’s used to playing indoors, the Falcons are in for an ugly day at the Meadowlands this Sunday. The forecast is calling for lots of rain and 20 MPH gusts, with the weather hovering in the mid-40s.
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- Arizona Cardinals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5)
Thousands of miles from the warm breeze their used to in Glendale, Arizona, the Cardinals are preparing for a taste of the Northeast during this week’s matchup with the Steelers. The current forecast is calling for wind and rain, something that suits Pittsburgh’s ground-and-pound style just fine.
- Miami Dolphins (-9.5) at Washington Commanders
With more rain expected for this inter-conference tilt between the Dolphins and Commanders, these two passing offenses could be slowed by the slick surface. Both teams boast a pass-heavy attack on offense, but that could change if things get too wet and slippery.