NFL Week 11 Betting Insights
It was another wild week of NFL betting that featured some surprising winners, with a number of games coming down to the wire. Football fans witnessed an NFL record on Sunday, with five different teams kicking a game-winning field goal as time expired. The Texans, Browns, Seahawks, Cardinals and Lions all managed to pull out a victory on the final play of their respective games. Needless to say, this led to some thrilling game action down the stretch for NFL bettors.
With our attention now fixed on the NFL’s Week 11 schedule, now’s the time to do your handicapping homework and prepare for the football games to come. Kicking off with a huge divisional matchup between the Bengals and Ravens before finishing up on Monday Night Football with a Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs, Week 11 is shaping up to be a real thrill ride!
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As always, Bovada Sportsbook is your best bet for cashing in on all the gridiron action. With NFL betting odds for every Week 11 game, you can find any team, total or prop bet you can think of. Before you start betting on this week’s games, this article will walk you through some noteworthy NFL betting insights you may want to keep in mind.
Eye of the Tiger
We finally have an appealing matchup for Thursday Night Football, as the 5-4 Cincinnati Bengals are set to take on the 7-3 Baltimore Ravens. This is divisional game that could end up having huge ramifications on the AFC North. These two teams are bitter rivals and with both sides coming off a loss, you can expect some hard-hitting football from the opening whistle. Playing at home, Baltimore is currently listed as 3.5-point betting favorites.
Last week’s fourth quarter collapse aside, the Ravens have been playing excellent football as of late. Boasting the NFL’s top running game (154.9 YPG) along with the league’s No. 1 scoring defense (15.7 PPG), Baltimore has the ability to dominate their opponent on both sides of the ball. In spite of all this, it’s still tough to bet against Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow. With Burrow under center, Cincinnati is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games at Baltimore and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog. From his time at LSU to his current tenure with the Bengals, Joe Cool has always stepped up his play in the big games.
‘Over’ the Top
People seemed to have forgotten what Kyler Murray was capable of with a football in his hands, but the diminutive quarterback gave fans a quick reminder by leading the Cardinals to a thrilling victory over the Falcons. In his next appearance, he’ll face off against the Houston Texans and hottest young quarterback in the NFL, CJ Stroud. Stroud’s play this season has been nothing shy of remarkable, with the rookie currently leading the NFL in passing yards per game (291.8).
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Kyler Murray showed great mobility last week and will only get better moving forward. Arizona should also be able to run the ball effectively, with RB James Conner facing a Texans defense that will be missing one of its best run defenders in LB Denzel Perryman. Houston should also be able to move the chains with ease as long as CJ Stroud is under center. He’ll also get help from the team’s rushing attack versus Arizona’s 28th ranked run defense (134.2 YPG).
With sides capable of moving the chains with ease, there could be a lot of points on the board come Sunday in this inter-conference matchup. The total for this game is currently set at 48 points, but don’t be surprised if the final score reaches into the high 50s/low 60s.
King of the Jungle
If you’ve been betting on the games this season, no team has been better than the Detroit Lions. The team currently sits atop the NFC North and has gone an NFL-best 7-2 ATS so far this year. In Week 11, the Lions play host to the Chicago Bears and are currently listed as 10-point betting favorites. Don’t let the high spread fool you, Detroit should have its way with a struggling Bears squad that’s gone just 3-7 straight up (SU) this season.
The Lions have been on a tear since the midway mark of last year and Detroit has gone a near-perfect 8-1 ATS in its last 9 home games dating back to last season. The biggest question mark leading up to this game is the status of Bears QB Justin Fields. The Ohio State product has sat out the past three games, with undrafted rookie free agent Tyson Bagent filling in at quarterback over that time. Regardless of who’s under center for Chicago, it likely won’t be enough to keep up with a Lions offense that’s put up 67 points in just the past 2 weeks.
Super Bowl Rematch
Week 11 ends with a bang as NFL fans are treated to an epic Monday Night Football matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles. This is a rematch of Super Bowl LVII, with the Eagles travelling to Kansas City and seeking to avenge their loss in last year’s big game. Featuring two of the NFL’s best teams, both sides have a number of positive trends going their way; the Chiefs are 11 SU in their last 12 home games, while the Eagles are an equally impressive 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road.
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Kansas City is currently available as a 3-point betting favorite over Philly, mainly due to the team’s home field advantage. Both teams will be coming off a bye, so you can expect both sides to be prepared for a matchup that’s being touted as the “Game of the Year”. Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has been especially strong following a bye week, having gone 18-10 ATS in this scenario over the course of his career. For what it’s worth, this is only the ninth time that the two teams that contested the Super Bowl met again the following season, with the defending champs going 6-2 SU all-time.