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Super Bowl LI Betting Line Holds Steady

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots have held firm as the betting favorite for Super Bowl LI over the past two weeks, heading into their game against Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons at Houston’s NRG Stadium on Sunday night as small 3-point chalk for the title game.

New England is also at -145 on the moneyline for Super Bowl LI, with Atlanta at +125. The OVER/UNDER for the contest remains historically high for the contest, pegged at 59 points.

And while the Falcons had the top-scoring offense in the NFL this past season, it’s actually the Patriots that have the higher OVER/UNDER for total team points on Sunday. New England’s OVER/UNDER for points is listed at 30.5 for Super Bowl LI, with the OVER the -130 favorite. The Falcons’ OVER/UNDER is at 27.5 points, with the OVER the -140 favorite.

Atlanta led the league at 34.4 points per game this past season, while New England was third at 28.4 points per game. The Patriots led the league in scoring defense, allowing just 15.7 points per game, with the Falcons below the league average at 24.8 points per game allowed.

The Falcons blew past the total in their NFC Championship Game win over the Green Bay Packers, winning 44-21 on a game OVER/UNDER of 59.5 points. The OVER has now paid off in eight straight games for Atlanta, and in 16 of their 18 games on the season. The Patriots also produced an OVER result in the AFC Championship Game, although on a relatively modest posted total of 49.5 points in a 36-17 win. New England sits at just 8-9-1 on the totals.


Will the Patriots or the Falcons Score First?

The Patriots are the favorites to win on Sunday, and they’re also the favorites to get on the scoreboard first. New England is a -125 favorite to put up the first points on Sunday, with Atlanta a -105 underdog. The team that scores first is the -155 favorite to win the contest.

The favorite to be the first scoring play of the game is touchdown at -175, with field goal or safety at +145. More specifically, a Patriots touchdown is the +180 favorite to be the first scoring play of Super Bowl LI, followed by a Falcons touchdown at +200, a Patriots field goal at +300, and a Falcons field goal at +350. A safety by either team is set well back at +2000.

Kickoff for Sunday is set for 6:30pm ET. The underdog Falcons head into Super Bowl LI having covered the spread in five of their last six games. The Patriots are on a 7-0 ATS run.


*Odds as of February 3, 2017

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