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Patriots Favored on Monday Night Football Odds

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The New England Patriots will be looking to extend their lead atop the AFC East standings on Monday when they visit the struggling Buffalo Bills as lofty 14-point favorites on the Monday Night Football odds.

New England is coming off a 38-31 victory in Chicago as 2-point chalk that extended the team’s current straight-up win streak to four games while lifting its SU record to 5-2 going into Monday night’s matchup at New Era Field.

The Patriots’ current hot streak put the brakes on a worrisome 1-2 SU start, and returned the team to its familiar perch atop the AFC East standings.

New England has also benefited from the October collapse of the Miami Dolphins, who have lost four of five, leaving the Patriots with a comfortable 1.5-game lead in the division standings and contributing to their rise to +550 on the Super Bowl odds.

An offensive resurgence has fueled the Patriots’ turnaround. New England averaged a meagre 19 points per game during their early-season swoon, capped by stunning consecutive road losses in Jacksonville and Detroit while pegged as betting favorites on the NFL odds.

However, the team quickly benefited from home cooking, opening their current surge with three straight home wins while outgunning opponents by a 119-71 margin, including a 43-40 win over the previously undefeated Kansas City Chiefs as 3.5-point chalk in Week 6.

The Patriots’ impressive point production has provided a boon to bettors taking the OVER, which has prevailed in each of their past three outings. But with the Bills struggling to produce points of late, the total is pegged at a relatively low 44.5 on the Patriots vs. Bills MNF odds.

 

Patriots Turning in Mixed Monday Night Results

While the Patriots will be making their third primetime appearance in four weeks, they have produced mixed results in recent appearances on Monday Night Football, dropping three of five SU while covering just once during that stretch.

New England has also failed to cover in its past three outings while favored by 13 or more points on the road, but could be poised to halt that trend on Monday against a Bills squad that returns home in a desperate search for offense.

The Bills entered Week 8 sitting last in the NFL in team offense with just 11.6 points scored per game. Rookie quarterback Josh Allen has enjoyed little support since being thrust into the starter’s role. The seventh overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft struggled to compile 832 passing yards and two touchdowns against five interceptions in six appearances, and will be sidelined for a second straight week while nursing an elbow injury.

That means a second straight start for 35-year-old veteran quarterback Derek Anderson, who was roughed up while tossing three picks in last weekend’s brutal 37-5 loss in Indianapolis, which marked just his fifth NFL start since 2010.

Buffalo has tallied just two touchdowns and only 31 total points during its current 1-3 SU slide. The Bills have also posted just two SU wins in 18 home meetings with New England since 1999, going 4-13-1 ATS during that stretch, but are a surprising 6-2 SU in their past eight appearances on Monday Night Football.

 

*Odds as of October 29, 2018

 

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