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Game 3 Stanley Cup Final Odds Favor the Blues

The 2019 Stanley Cup Final has become a competitive championship series after the St. Louis Blues upset the Boston Bruins 3-2 in overtime as +150 underdogs in Game 2 on Wednesday to even the best-of-seven matchup at 1-1 as they head home for Game 3 on Saturday.

The updated odds to win the Stanley Cup have the Bruins as small -120 favorites while the Blues are even-money underdogs. St. Louis is a -120 home favorite for Game 3 according to the NHL Final lines.

Boston’s eight-game winning streak was snapped in Game 2 despite the team holding leads of 1-0 and 2-1 in the first period. The game was tied 2-2 at the end of the first, and there was no scoring in the second or third before defenseman Carl Gunnarsson fired home the game-winning goal for the Blues at the 3:51 mark of overtime. The team that has scored the first goal has lost each of the first two games of the series, with the Bruins failing to capitalize and disappointing their backers as -170 home favorites.

The biggest challenge St. Louis will have now is trying to defeat Boston twice in a row, something only the Columbus Blue Jackets have accomplished this postseason. The Blues have been just a mediocre home team in this year’s playoffs, going 5-5 in 10 games, although three of the wins have come in the past four played at the Enterprise Center. That is definitely something to keep in mind for Stanley Cup Final betting, as the Bruins have bounced back with a victory in four of their previous five games after a loss.

Bruins Seek Rebound Effort on Saturday Night

One of the main reasons Boston is still favored to win the championship based on Stanley Cup Final odds has to do with the team’s ability to rebound, especially on the road. The Bruins are riding a four-game winning streak away from home, winning the last two at both the Blue Jackets and Carolina Hurricanes in the past two rounds. They have a 6-2 road record overall this postseason, winning at least two games on their opponent’s ice in each round so far.

That bodes well for them in this spot, and they are also 5-4 in their last nine trips to St. Louis dating back to December 21, 2008.

The Blues have won the past two home meetings though by identical scores of 2-1, with the UNDER cashing each time. Prior to that, the OVER cashed in three straight games between the teams and was 6-1 in the previous seven meetings between 2008 and 2017.

It is worth noting that oddsmakers have adjusted the total down to 5 from 5.5 with the OVER favored at -145. The first two games of this series have averaged 5.5 goals, and the last three playoff games played in St. Louis overall saw the OVER cash twice with an average of six goals scored. The Blues have averaged 3.67 goals in their last three at home, beating the San Jose Sharks twice in the Western Conference Final.

Meanwhile, Boston’s success on the road can be traced directly to the play of goaltender Tuukka Rask, who has allowed just two goals total in his last four away from home. Rask has stopped 137 of 139 shots (.986 save percentage) during that stretch with two shutouts, and his outstanding performances at Columbus and Carolina made him the favorite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP.

However, St. Louis winger Vladimir Tarasenko has entered the conversation for the Conn Smythe with goals in four straight games, including one in each of the first two games of this series. Rask’s ability to shut down Tarasenko could be the difference in Game 3.

*Odds as of May 31st, 2019

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