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Bucks, Warriors Favored on Tuesday NBA Playoff Odds

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Neither of the home teams covered the spread in Sunday’s NBA second-round playoff series openers in the Eastern and Western Conferences, with the top seeds seeking much different outcomes heading into Tuesday’s games. The Milwaukee Bucks were stunned 112-90 by the fourth-seeded Boston Celtics in the East as eight-point betting favorites while the Golden State Warriors edged the fourth-seeded Houston Rockets 104-100 in the West but failed to beat the number as six-point chalk.

 

The NBA playoff lines for Game 2 of each series are almost identical to those for Game 1, with Milwaukee sitting as a seven-point home favorite and Golden State listed at -5.5. Following Sunday’s results, the Rockets were the +650 second choice to win the NBA title behind the two-time defending champion Warriors, who are seeking a three-peat as -150 favorites. The Bucks and second-seeded Toronto Raptors were co-third choices at +700 odds to win the NBA championship heading into Monday night’s action, although the former has a much tougher matchup with the Celtics.

 

Boston looks to offer some value at +1200 to win it all based on its Game 1 performance at Milwaukee and the fact that the Celtics knocked out the Bucks in last year’s NBA playoffs. Their postseason experience is unmatched in comparison, especially when you consider that of Kyrie Irving with the Cleveland Cavaliers and Al Horford with the Atlanta Hawks, as both players made nice runs with their former teams.

 

The important thing to remember with NBA playoff betting though is the zig-zag theory, and each losing team’s ability to bounce back in Game 2. Milwaukee may lack recent playoff success, but the team is still the top seed in the East and had the best home record in the conference during the regular season at 33-8. Boston also struggled on the road in this matchup a year ago and has lost five of the last six away from home in the series straight up despite going 3-2 against the spread in those games.

 

Warriors Struggling on NBA Playoff Betting Lines

 

For Golden State, this team is no longer dominating opponents like it did in previous championship runs when you look at NBA playoff odds. The Warriors are just 3-4 ATS in their seven postseason games so far this year, failing to cover three of their past four. The Los Angeles Clippers also found a way to somehow beat them twice in the first round, which many would have thought to be very unlikely going into that series. If Golden State does not connect on a solid percentage of three-point attempts again in Game 2, then Houston will have an excellent chance to win by slowing down the tempo.

 

The Rockets held the Warriors to 7-of-22 shooting (31.8 percent) from three-point range in Game 1, and that type of defensive effort should have translated to a victory. Unfortunately for them, they shot even worse from downtown (29.8 percent on 14-of-47 attempts). If Houston can find a way to resist the temptation of taking so many shots from beyond the three-point arc – remember this team missed 27 in a row in last year’s Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals – then Golden State could lose Game 2. In fact, making the Warriors play a half-court game might be the best way to beat them.

*Odds as of April, 29

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