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Brady Favored to Top Garoppolo in Passing Yards in Week 1

NFL Week 1 Props at Bovada

The New England Patriots made headlines last October by trading highly-touted quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to the San Francisco 49ers in exchange for a second-round draft pick.

Once thought to be the heir apparent to Tom Brady, Garoppolo became expendable as the 41-year-old marched toward NFL MVP honors for the third time in his career. As expected, Garoppolo had an immediate impact upon arrival in San Francisco, leading the previously foundering 49ers to five wins in his first five starts.

Garoppolo averaged over 308 passing yards per game during last season’s impressive stretch run, but prepares to hit the gridiron this weekend as a +150 underdog on the NFL props to amass more passing yards than Tom Brady in Week 1.

Buoyed by last year’s 5-1 straight up stretch run, the 49ers enter the 2018 NFL campaign amid heightened expectations. Losers in 24 of their previous 25 outings, the Niners now sit second to the Los Angeles Rams as a +325 wager on the NFC West odds, and lead the middle of the pack on the NFC conference futures, sporting respectable +1100 odds.

However, the 49ers face a tough test in their season opener, as they visit the Minnesota Vikings as 6.5-point underdogs. Minnesota opens the season looking to take the next step after finishing atop the NFC North with a sparkling 13-3 record. The Vikings built last season’s success on an NFL-leading defense that surrendered just 15.8 points per game while holding opposing pivots to a meagre 192.4 passing yards per game.

The Vikings have also dominated San Francisco in recent clashes on home turf. Minnesota has posted SU wins in five straight, limiting the 49ers to just 14.8 points per game, while surrendering 191 or fewer passing yards on three occasions.

 

Brady the Betting Favorite on Sunday NFL Prop Bet

While Brady sits perched as a -200 favorite on the NFL prop bets to out-pass his former understudy in Week 1, his New England Patriots must also contend with a tough test in their season opener.

The Patriots play host to the Houston Texans as comfortable 6.5-point favorites on Sunday afternoon. The game represents the first serious look at New England’s receiving corps, which has undergone major changes since the end of last season.

Gone is wide receiver Brandin Cooks, who was shipped to the Rams via trade after cracking 1,000 receiving yards for a third straight year. Brady will also have to make do without the services of veteran Julian Edelman, who will be absent from Sunday’s clash as he begins a four-game suspension. However, Brady can still turn to preferred target Rob Gronkowski, and veteran receiver Chris Hogan is expected to take on a larger role in Edelman’s absence.

The Patriots have also dominated the Texans on home turf. New England has averaged 36.66 points per game while going undefeated SU in six all-time home dates, capped by a 36-33 victory last season in which Brady tossed for 378 yards and five touchdowns.

However, the return of star defensive end JJ Watt could tip the scales in Houston’s favor. Pegged as a +600 co-favorite to be named NFL Defensive Player of the Year for the fourth time in his career, Watt has sacked Brady on 15 occasions in four career meetings.

 

*Odds as of September 7, 2018

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