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Astros Rise to Pay on World Series Odds

Astros Rise to Pay on World Series Odds - Bovada Sportsbook

For the first time in their franchise’s 56-year history and only four years removed from a 111-loss season, the Houston Astros are World Series champions.

After winning 84 games in 2016, it’s safe to say oddsmakers weren’t expecting a 17-win improvement and a ring from Houston this season. When you also consider the Cleveland Indians (+900, March 22) fell one win short in 2016 and the Boston Red Sox (+450, March 22) mortgaged their future to acquire Chris Sale, it wasn’t a surprise the Astros’ World Series futures were +1400 ahead of the season opener.

Turns out, of the 162 regular season game days, the Astros sat atop the American League West at the end of 154 of them.

Houston’s biggest AL West deficit came in early April when they trailed by 1.5 games. Their pitching staff posted their best numbers with a 3.38 ERA and 1.18 WHIP to finish 16-9 the first month. By the time the calendar flipped to May, the Astros’ World Series futures improved to +800. They were still looking up at the Indians (+600) and Red Sox (+700), however.

A 22-7 May record boosted their World Series appeal to an MLB-favorite +425. Houston’s bats caught fire: .280 in May, .294 in June, before raking at a .323 clip in July. The meat of the schedule wasn’t as kind to the pitching staff. Their ERA soared from 3.60 in May to 4.79 in June and 5.08 in July. The news got worse after the All-Star break.

Shortstop Carlos Correa hit the DL the second half of July and all of August with a torn thumb ligament. It was evident his presence was missed at the dish. Houston’s batting dipped to season lows in August (.254 / .314 / .412) and they finished with an 11-17 record. Meanwhile, the Tribe were on a roll.

The Indians’ 22-game winning streak took the attention off the Astros in late August and early September. When combined with Correa’s injury and pitching woes, Houston’s World Series futures slipped slightly, but remained steady at +500 the final two months. Even last-minute trade acquisition Justin Verlander’s perfect 5-0 record and 1.06 ERA in September didn’t sway oddsmakers.

 

Astros Entered Playoffs at +500 Title Odds

With so much attention on the Indians and Dodgers, Houston was stuck at +500 ahead of the first game of the ALDS. They improved to +225 after beating the Boston Red Sox in four games and jumped to +125 after beating the New York Yankees in the first two ALCS games.

However, those odds dipped back to +550 when the Yankees won three straight in New York. Verlander’s dominant performance in Game 6 and the 1-2 punch of Charlie Morton and Lance McCullers in Game 7 helped rally the Astros and lead them into the World Series where they entered at +145. Their split in Los Angeles to start the series moved their odds to EVEN before insanity ensued for three games in Houston. Through all of it, the Astros – once +1400 – failed to gain the edge in a winner-take-all Game 7 (+140) on November 1, which they won.

And if you can’t wait to get in on some 2018 futures action, the Astros are the early favorite to repeat as World Series champs at +500. The Los Angeles Dodgers were next season’s favorite earlier this week, but will have to settle for being the favorite from the National League at +550. The Cleveland Indians round out the top three at +750.

 

*Odds as of November 3, 2017

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