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Warriors Favored to Complete the Sweep

The Golden State Warriors can close out a perfect 16-0 playoff run and claim their second NBA title in three years with a straight-up win on Friday when they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of the NBA Finals as 6-point road favorites.

Golden State took a 67-61 lead to the dressing room at halftime in Game 3, but was forced to overcome a seven-point deficit in the second half to claim a 118-113 win as 3.5-point chalk, and enters Friday night’s matchup at Quicken Loans Arena poised to become the first team to sweep an NBA Finals since the San Antonio Spurs beat the Cavs in four games 10 years ago.

It has been a spectacular playoff run for the Warriors, who have outscored opponents by an average margin of over 15.4 points while tallying 15 straight postseason wins, and are an intimidating 30-1 SU in their past 31 overall. Golden State has continued to reward bettors with eight against the spread victories in its past nine games, and has been reliable when pegged as chalk of six or more points, going 24-1 SU and 16-7-2 ATS in its past 25.

Forward Kevin Durant has played a key role in Golden State’s success during his first playoff run with the club. Durant has averaged 34 points and 10 rebounds through the first three games of the Finals, and sports short -140 odds of posting his seventh double-double of the postseason on Friday night.


Cavaliers Have Weak Record as Underdogs

The Cavaliers enter Game 4 with just two SU wins in their past six games, putting the brakes on a 10-game SU run to begin the postseason. Cleveland has also covered just once in its past six games to fall to 7-7-2 ATS in these playoffs.

Cleveland’s recent history while pegged as a betting underdog is a matter of concern going into a must-win situation in Game 4. The Cavaliers are a meagre 1-13 SU in their past 14 as underdogs, covering just three times during that stretch.

The Cavaliers have also been mediocre performers in Game 4 situations, going 5-6 SU in their past 11, including SU losses to the Warriors in the fourth game of the past two NBA Finals series.

However, as the Warriors learned during last year’s collapse in the Finals it is unwise to underestimate the impact of Cavaliers star LeBron James, who has averaged 32 points and over 10 rebounds per game during this series, and is a short -400 bet to record his fourth double-double in as many games on Friday night.


*Odds as of June 9, 2017


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