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Trump Underdog vs. Clinton for Election

Trump Underdog vs. Clinton for Election - Bovada Sportsbook

If Donald Trump manages to shock the world and win the United States presidential election on Tuesday he’ll do it as a large underdog against Hillary Clinton on the political betting props.

The Republican Trump is listed as the +375 underdog on the odds to win the American presidential election on Tuesday, with the Democratic Clinton the -550 betting favorite, while ‘other’ is pegged at +10000 in what would be a lucrative but very bizarre longshot result.

Trump was back at +2500 on the odds to become the next president in the summer of 2015, but that betting line was pushed into the +200 range by last March and up to +175 by September with the party nomination in his pocket. Those odds lengthened to +350 in late October, got a bump on the news that more Clinton emails were under FBI investigation, but have settled back in at +375 on the eve of the election.


Clinton Remains Betting Favorite

Clinton, meanwhile, has seen less volatility on her odds, having been set as the betting favorite for the entire campaign, and she is listed as a -250 favorite to get over 299.5 electoral college votes on Tuesday with 270 needed to win the presidency. Back in 2012 Barack Obama picked up 332 electoral college votes, while he had 365 in the 2008 election.

Trump’s Over/Under for electoral college votes is 238.5, with the Under the -190 favorite. Mitt Romney collected 206 electoral college votes in 2012, with John McCain getting just 173 back in his 2008 election defeat.

Obama and the Democrats carried 26 states in 2012 and 28 in their 2008 election win. The Over/Under for states won by the Democrats on Tuesday is listed at 25.5 as a Push. For the same total the Republicans is also listed as a Push.

Obama took 51.1 percent of the popular vote in 2012 and 52.9 percent in 2008, with Clinton at +200 odds to get between 50 and 52.99 percent of the popular vote in Tuesday’s election, while 47 to 49.99 percent is the favorite at +135. Trump has +140 odds to get between 44 and 46.99 percent of the popular vote; over the last two elections the Republican ticket has picked up 47.2 percent (2012) and 45.7 percent (2008) of the popular vote.

And with this election season having dominated the headlines for over a year there are -165 odds that voter turnout will be Over 58 percent, with the Under a +125 underdog on that prop wager. Voter turnout was just 54.9 percent in 2012, but it was 58.2 percent back in 2008.


*Odds as of November 7, 2016


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